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Is Europe Ready for War? Why Brussels Is Racing Against TimeAfter Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, rising pressure from the United States, and increasingly blunt warnings from military leaders, the European Union is being forced to confront a reality that once seemed unthinkable: its own defence readiness.For years, Europe relied on diplomacy, economic integration, and transatlantic security guarantees to maintain stability. Today, that confidence is fading. With the war in Ukraine showing no clear end, trust eroding between allies, and warnings of future escalation growing louder, the EU is moving—quickly—to shore up its military, industrial, and strategic foundations.A Continent Under Pressure

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Brussels feels like a city preparing for war

The sense of urgency did not emerge overnight. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine shattered long-standing assumptions about security on the European continent. At the same time, political signals from Washington have grown increasingly clear: Europe must take greater responsibility for its own defence.

European leaders now find themselves caught between two imperatives—deterring future aggression while maintaining unity at home. EU leaders agreed last December on a new €90 billion loan package to support Ukraine. Meanwhile, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced a series of defence initiatives aimed at strengthening Europe’s deterrence capacity by 2030. These moves come amid stark rhetoric. On 2 December, Vladimir Putin stated that Russia was prepared to fight if necessary and warned there would be “no one left to negotiate with.”

Around the same time, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte issued a blunt assessment: “We are Russia’s next target.” He warned that an attack on NATO territory could occur within the next five years

Around the same time, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte issued a blunt assessment: “We are Russia’s next target.” He warned that an attack on NATO territory could occur within the next five years. Germany’s defence minister Boris Pistorius echoed these concerns, stating that Europe may have already experienced its “last summer of peace.” The message from Europe’s security establishment is increasingly consistent: the risk is no longer theoretical.

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